Kent Baker

Kent “Knobby” Baker spent 38 years as a sports reporter for the Baltimore Sun, covering horse racing, the Baltimore Orioles, the Baltimore Colts, University of Maryland and the Naval Academy before retiring in 2007. The Hagerstown, MD native joined the Preakness media relations team in 2008 where he offers wagering analysis for the Black-Eyed Susan and Preakness day cards.

RACE ANALYSIS

   PREAKNESS DAY    
RACE 1    
RACE 2    
RACE 3    
RACE 4    
RACE 5    
RACE 6    
RACE 7    
RACE 8    
RACE 9    
RACE 10    
RACE 11    
RACE 12    
RACE 13    
  BLACK EYED SUSAN DAY All bets based on race staying on turf
RACE 1

$40.000, Kattegat's Pride Starter Handicap, f&m, 3yo & up, 1 1/16 mi
 
    Love Heart (5) figures as a prohibitive favorite in this opener to the
Black-Eyed Susan program. but may be vulnerable off her last outing when she broke slowly and finished a dull fifth. Added distance may also be a question mark as well. Look for  a possible upset here from the often claimed Printasticat (4).
 

Win: Printasticat (4)

Exacta: Box Printasticat (4) with Love Heart (5), Will n' Pat (7) and Onegreatstep (8)

Longshot Pick: Gallagher's Pride (2)

RACE 2

$52,000. alw, f&m. 3yo & up, 5 fur (turf).
 
      Barring inclement weather, which would prevent running this race on the grass, this seems like a wide-open dash. If there is  a shift to the main track, Mama Zee (7) looks like the class with
Sandbag (14) another contender. As is, Sweet Butterfly (16) may be the one to beat if she draws in with Eddy Gourmet (2) a notch behind.

Win: Sweet Butterfly (16)

Exacta: Box Sweet Butterfly (16) with Eddy Gourmet (2) and Charm City (5)

Longshot Pick: Avie (8)

RACE 3

$52,000, alw, Lady Legends, 3 yo& up, 6 fur.
 
   The female riders of yesteryear return again on a card dedicated to fighting breast cancer. They will be aboard a speedy group headed by the Tony Dutrow trained Big Lute (3) and Rojo Perfecto (4), who is conditioned by Tim Keefe. Zuerstgold (1) is another fast entry out of the Fran Campitelli barn. This is a unique event in more than one way: trainers do not name the riders.

Win: Rojo Perfecto (4)

Exacta: Box  Rojo Perfecto (4) with Big Lute (3) and Zuerstgold (1)

Longshot Pick: Put Back The Halo (10)

RACE 4

$52,000. alw, f&m. 3 yo&up, 1 1/16 mi (turf).
 
    In her second outing after a winter layoff, Concise (2) appears to boast a clear advantage over this field based on respectable showing in tougher graded company. She barely missed place money in her comeback race last month at Keeneland. Vielsalm (6) should be flying down the stretch under Calvin Borel to challenge and Divine Luck (11) from the Shug McGaughey barn rates a shot.

Win: Concise (2)

Exacta: Place Concise (2) over Vielsalm (6) and Divine Luck (11)

Longshot Pick: Dance Craze (10)

 

RACE 5

$100,000, The Skipat Stakes, f&m, 3yo&up, 6 fur.
 
   This is a well balanced, competitive field that could produce a blanket finish among more than two contenders. Munnings Sister (6) is a slight choice as the overnight favorite, but she figures to get plenty of argument from Winning Image (9) She's Ordained (1) and Five Star Momma (2). Flip a coin among those four and you should have a horse vying for the lion's share.

Win: Winning Image (9)

Exacta: Box Winning Image (9) with Munnings Sister(6), She's Ordained (1) and Five Star Momma (2)

Longshot Pick: Merry Meadow (5)

RACE 6

$52,000, alw, 3 yo&up, 1 1/16 mi (turf).
 
   Another grass event that attracted a crowd. this could be an outstanding spot for some value among the bettors. If he draws in, the choice is Brickyard Kitten (17), who has been away nearly two  months after some creditable showings at Gulfstream Park. Chances are greater he will make the race if it is not shifted to the dirt. Alakazan Alakazan (6) cannot be ignored and Wallyanna (14) should be tough while moving up a bit.

Win: Brickyard Kitten (17)

Exacta: Box Brickyard Kitten (17) with Alakazan Alakazan (6). Wallyanna (14) and St. Albans Boy (5)

Longshot Pick: Lulu Le' Mon (11)
 

RACE 7

$75,000, The Rollicking Stakes, 2 yo, 5 fur.
 
  The "babies" with one or two races on their resumes vie in this stakes with all eight stretching from 4 1/2 furlongs to 5. Trainer Wesley Ward has four entries in this field and two of them Hootenanny (6) and Spanish Pipedream  (7) are solid contenders. But Jerry Robb-trained Governmentshutdown (1) has drawn the rail and made a notable improvement while winning by six lengths last time.

Win: Spanish Pipedream (7)

Exacta: Box Spanish Pipedream (7) with Hootenanny (6) and Governmentshutdown (1)

Longshot Pick: Far Right (3)

RACE 8

$55,000, opt alw clg, f&m, 3 yo&up, 1 1/16 mi (turf).
 
    With rain in the forecast, this is another turf race that may be switched to the dirt track. However,that shouldn't affect the rhythm of the wagering with  Lonesome Town (12) expected to draw the favorite
's role. Beaten by a just a head in her last start, she has run fairly consistently on both surfaces. Dido (2) has been improving steadily and Seaside (13), with three wins over wet tracks, could be a sleeper if the weather is inclement.

Win: Lonesome Town (12)

Exacta: Box Lonesome Town (12) with Dido (2), Yuzuru (11) and Perique (6)

Longshot Pick: Seaside (13)

RACE 9

$100,000, The Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3 yo&up, 5 fur (turf)
 
    One of the annual showcases for King Leatherbury's all-time top winner, Ben's Cat (8). this dash has a rash of challengers to the 8-year-old phenom. Late-running Great Attack (1) has prevailed in graded company and Bold Thunder (3) has taken three of his last five outings. Wicked Tune (6) is another who can contend, so Ben's Cat has a chore in front of him as he strives for a third victory in the last four McKays.

Win: Bold Thunder (3)

Exacta: Box Bold Thunder (3) with Great Attack (1) and Ben's Cat (8)

Longshot Pick: Smash and Grab (2)

RACE 10

$500,000, The Black-Eyed Susan Stakes, Gr II, f, 3 yo, 1 1/8 mi.
 
     Trainer Todd Pletcher has a penchant for taking this filly classic and is shooting for his fourth Black-Eyed Susan victory. He is positioned adroitly again with Stopchargingmaria (4) and Sloane Square (8)both expected to be in the thick of the race. Stopchargingmaria is 3-for-7 while running against top-flight company and Sloane Square will try to stretch an additional eighth of a mile.Their biggest threat from another barn appears to be Euphrosyne  (5), a Stseve Asmussen charge.

 Win: Stopchargingmaria (4)

Exacta:  Put Stopchargingmaria (4) over Sloane Square (8), Euphrosyne (5) and America (2)

Longshot Pick: Arethusa (6)
 

RACE 11

$100,000, The Miss Preakness, f, 3 yo , 6 fur.
 
    Of a host of quick fillies in this one, the quickest appears to be Tea Time (5), who has had more favorable results running shorter  and is dropping back from a fading effort at seven furlongs. She'll have plenty of company at the front end with Miss Behaviour (4), Jojo Warrior (8) and Tepin (6). Our Lesmis (9) is undefeated in two starts and while breaking from an outside post, could benefit from a torrid pace.

 Win: Tea Time (5)

Exacta: Put Tea Time (5) over Miss Behaviour (5), Jojo Warrior (8) and Tepin (6)

Longshot Pick: Raging Smoke (2)
 

RACE 12

$300,000, The Pimlico Special, Gr III, 3 yo&up, 1 3/16 mi.
 
    By contrast, Pletcher has never won this venerable event first made famous by the match race between Seabiscuit and War Admiral. It won't be easy breaking through here although Revolutionary (6) and Golden Lad (4) figure to be well backed by the bettors. Moreno (3) is a tough customer and Bob Baffert has entered Cat Burglar (2), who has never been worse than second since his first maiden outing. Another who figures is Carve (5) bred at Claiborne Farm.

Win: Moreno (3)

Exacta: Box Moreno (3) with Revolutionary (6), Cat Burglar (2) and Carve (5)

Longshot Pick: Valid (1)

RACE 13

$100,000, The Hilltop Stakes, f, 3yo, 1 1/16 mi (turf)
 
   Unbeaten Daring Dancer (1) from the Graham Motion stable looks like the best bet on the program. She has prevailed at three different tracks and stepped up nicely in distance. The only question is a muddy main track since she has competed exclusively on grass. Another Pletcher trainee, Lucky for You (3) could be a factor and should be well supported with Buttercup Bay (4) the sleeper.

Win: Daring Dancer (1)

Exacta: Play Daring Dancer (1) over Lucky For You (3), Buttercup Bay (4) and Courtesan (6)

Longshot Pick: High Wire Kitten (7)